
What does the Harvard AI study really say?
If you're in college and about to graduate, or you're a recent graduate, such that you would be a "junior" employee, then you need to watch this video. 👇
A viral Facebook post has been making rounds claiming that Harvard research shows "1 senior + Claude = same output" as a 4-person team, suggesting AI can replace entire groups of junior workers. While the underlying study from Harvard economists Hosseini and Lichtinger is real and significant, the social media interpretation dramatically oversimplifies and misrepresents the actual findings.
The research does show that firms adopting AI tools reduced junior hiring by about 7.7% relative to non-adopting firms, but this is far from the "AI replaces 3 out of 4 workers" narrative being shared online. The study focuses on hiring patterns and employment dynamics across 285,000 firms over a decade, not productivity comparisons between AI-assisted seniors and junior teams.
In this analysis, I break down what the paper actually found, why the viral interpretation misses the mark, and what the real implications are for the job market.
📄 Download my annotated copy of the Harvard paper.